Cash Sales at Nine-Year Low
Despite a steadily decreasing share of distressed sales and fewer investors in the market all-cash sales have not yet returned to normal levels nor, according to CoreLogic's new report, will they for nearly two more years. Those sales made up 30.8 percent of all home sales in July, down from 34.2 percent in July 2014.
The year-over-year share of all-cash sales has fallen each month since January 2013 and July's were at the lowest level in nine years. Such sales peaked in January 2011 when they comprised 46.5 percent of the national market.
Month-over-month the share was down 0.5 percentage points. CoreLogic says the seasonality of the market makes year-over-year comparisons most meaningful.
The decline in cash sales has paralleled the drop in sales of lender owned properties (REO) which now constitute only 6.1 percent of home sales. Thus, even though REO had by far the largest percentage of cash sales, 56 percent, those sales had little impact on the market as a whole. In January 2011 when the cash sales share was at its peak, REO sales made up 23.9 percent of total home sales. Resales had the next highest cash sales share at 30.2 percent, followed by short sales (28 percent) and newly constructed homes (15.6 percent).
Cash sales remain well above the national average in several states. Alabama had the largest share at 47.4 percent, followed by Florida (44.7 percent), New York (42.8 percent), West Virginia (41.1 percent) and New Jersey (39.5 percent).
Of the nation's largest 100 Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) measured by population, those with the highest cash sales were all in Florida; West Palm Beach-Boca Raton at 53.2 percent, Miami (52.2 percent), Sarasota-Bradenton, Fla. (50.1 percent), Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach (48.4 percent) and Cape Coral-Fort Myers (47.9 percent).
Prior to the housing crisis, the cash sales share of total home sales averaged approximately 25 percent. If the cash sales share continues to fall at the same rate it did in July 2015, the share should return to that level by mid-2017.
<a title="Cash Sales at Nine-Year Low" href="http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/10232015_corelogic_cash_sales.asp">Cash Sales at Nine-Year Low</a>